Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
12%chance of Yes
+2%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027 at 12%
On Polymarket, "Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?" is trading at 12% YES with $371,375 in volume. It's moved +2% in the last 24h.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $371K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $1.4K
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Frequently asked
What is the "Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 12%, which makes it an underdog — the crowd puts the odds around 12%. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
