Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
22%chance of Yes
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekWhy it's moving
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027 at 22%
On Polymarket, "Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?" is trading at 22% YES with $275,627 in volume.
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PRO+Key facts
- Total volume
- $276K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $12.8K
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
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Odds and volume are sourced live from Polymarket and refresh continuously. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
