Hantavirus pandemic in 2026 β 5% YES
The market currently prices a Hantavirus pandemic in 2026 as a deep longshot at 5%, indicating the crowd views this as highly improbable with implied odds of roughly 17.3-to-1 against. This price holds significant conviction, backed by over $14.7 million in trading volume, suggesting a robust collective judgment rather than a speculative swing. The essentially flat 24-hour movement further reinforces the stability of this low probability assessment, showing no recent shift in market sentiment. With no resolution date provided, the long-term nature of the question allows for potential future shifts, though the current consensus is firmly established.
AI-generated from automated web search β may be inaccurate or out of date. Verify anything important with the linked sources. Not financial advice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool β we don't accept bets or hold funds.