Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?
9%chance of Yes
+2%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026 at 9%
On Polymarket, "Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?" is trading at 9% YES with $109,943 in volume. It's moved +2% in the last 24h.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $110K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $413
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe. An announcement of Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently asked
What is the "Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 9%, which makes it a long shot — the crowd gives it only about a 9% chance. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
