Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 26?
6%chance of Yes
-5%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 26 at 6%
On Polymarket, "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 26?" is trading at 6% YES with $3,184 in volume. It's moved -5% in the last 24h.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $3.2K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $3.1K
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Jul 26, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
Resolution details
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Frequently asked
What is the "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 26?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 26?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 6%, which makes it a long shot — the crowd gives it only about a 6% chance. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
