Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on July 26?
40%chance of Yes
-6%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on July 26 at 40%
On Polymarket, "Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on July 26?" is trading at 40% YES with $9,057 in volume. It's moved -6% in the last 24h.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $9.1K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $7.4K
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Jul 26, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
Resolution details
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Frequently asked
What is the "Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on July 26?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on July 26?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 40%, which makes it an underdog — the crowd puts the odds around 40%. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
