IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?
3%chance of Yes
+1%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31 at 3%
On Polymarket, "IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?" is trading at 3% YES with $14,173 in volume.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $14.2K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $867
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Aug 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
Resolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility. IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General. A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently asked
What is the "IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 3%, which makes it a long shot — the crowd gives it only about a 3% chance. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
