Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
23%chance of Yes
+3%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekWhy it's moving
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31 at 23%
On Polymarket, "Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?" is trading at 23% YES with $136,035 in volume. It's moved +3% in the last 24h.
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PRO+Key facts
- Total volume
- $136K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $226
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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