Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
22%chance of Yes
+1%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31 at 22%
On Polymarket, "Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?" is trading at 22% YES with $152,055 in volume.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $152K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $120
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently asked
What is the "Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 22%, which makes it an underdog — the crowd puts the odds around 22%. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
