Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026 — 12% YES

The market currently prices a "Yes" resolution at 12%, indicating the crowd views this outcome as a significant longshot, with implied odds of roughly 7.7-to-1 against. While the price has nudged up two points in the last 24 hours, this minor shift is likely noise rather than a genuine change in conviction. With over $3.6 million traded, there's solid participation behind this price, suggesting a reasonably confident collective judgment despite the long odds.

AI-generated from automated web search — may be inaccurate or out of date. Verify anything important with the linked sources. Not financial advice.

Key facts

Total volume

$5.5M

traded all-time

Market

Polymarket

data source