Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Israel closes its airspace by June 15 — 30% YES

The market's upward movement reflects a significant escalation in regional tensions, primarily driven by the direct exchange of missile fire between Iran and Israel on June 7-8, 2026. This followed an Israeli airstrike on a Hezbollah command center in Beirut and a Hezbollah rocket attack on northern Israel, marking the first such direct bombardment since an April ceasefire. Although Israel's

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Key facts

Total volume

$5.7M

traded all-time

Market

Polymarket

data source