Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by July 31?
2%chance of Yes
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by July 31 at 2%
On Polymarket, "Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by July 31?" is trading at 2% YES with $103,406 in volume.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $103K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $5
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Jul 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Frequently asked
What is the "Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by July 31?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by July 31?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 2%, which makes it a long shot — the crowd gives it only about a 2% chance. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
