Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
57%chance of Yes
+18%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026 at 57%
On Polymarket, "Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?" is trading at 57% YES with $629 in volume. It's moved +18% in the last 24h.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $629
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $453
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Aug 4, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
Resolution details
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 28, 12:00 PM ET and August 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Frequently asked
What is the "Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 57%, which makes it close to a coin-flip at about 57%. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
