Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?
12%chance of Yes
-1%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026 at 12%
On Polymarket, "Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?" is trading at 12% YES with $5,544 in volume. It's moved -1% in the last 24h.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $5.5K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $12
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
Resolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Frequently asked
What is the "Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 12%, which makes it an underdog — the crowd puts the odds around 12%. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
