Natural Disaster in 2026?
22%chance of Yes
-6%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Natural Disaster in 2026 at 22%
On Polymarket, "Natural Disaster in 2026?" is trading at 22% YES with $227,959 in volume. It's moved -6% in the last 24h.
💬 Ask this market
PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $228K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $954
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET: - A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US - A major meteor strikes (10kt+) - A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6) - An 8.5+ earthquake occurs Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
Frequently asked
What is the "Natural Disaster in 2026?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Natural Disaster in 2026?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 22%, which makes it an underdog — the crowd puts the odds around 22%. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
More in Markets
View all →
Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
