NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
21%chance of Yes
-1%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekWhy it's moving
✨ AINYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027 — 21% YES
At 21%, the market currently treats a NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027 as a longshot, with implied odds of roughly 3.9-to-1 against. This price has remained essentially flat over the past 24 hours, suggesting no real shift in conviction. However, with only $405 traded in the last day and under $60,000 total, participation is thin, indicating a tentative price that could easily swing with modest new flow. Given the resolution period extends through December 31, 2026, there is still plenty of time for this price to move, as a "Yes" resolution requires a Level 1, 2, or 3 S&P 500-triggered trading halt on the NYSE at any point between November 7, 2025, and the end of next year.
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PRO+Key facts
- Total volume
- $59.6K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $405
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A marketwide circuit breaker is defined as a trading halt that is initiated due to significant declines in the S&P 500 Index, specifically a Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 halt as per NYSE rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NYSE, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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Odds and volume are sourced live from Polymarket and refresh continuously. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
