Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
22%chance of Yes
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31 at 22%
On Polymarket, "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?" is trading at 22% YES with $285,126 in volume.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $285K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $127
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked
What is the "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 22%, which makes it an underdog — the crowd puts the odds around 22%. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
