SBF released from custody in 2026?
5%chance of Yes
-0%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
SBF released from custody in 2026 at 5%
On Polymarket, "SBF released from custody in 2026?" is trading at 5% YES with $444,666 in volume.
💬 Ask this market
PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $445K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $81
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Sam Bankman-Fried is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Sam Bankman-Fried is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Sam Bankman-Fried to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked
What is the "SBF released from custody in 2026?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "SBF released from custody in 2026?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 5%, which makes it a long shot — the crowd gives it only about a 5% chance. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
More in Markets
View all →
Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
