Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Starmer out by December 31, 2026 — 76% YES

At 76%, this market indicates the crowd sees Keir Starmer's departure by the end of 2026 as a strong probability, effectively a favorite with implied odds of roughly 3.1-to-1 in favor. The modest 2-point increase over the past 24 hours suggests this is more market noise than a significant shift in conviction. With nearly $3 million traded, the price reflects solid participation, indicating a reasonably confident collective judgment, though the absence of a resolution rule makes the precise payout condition for "YES" unclear.

AI-generated from automated web search — may be inaccurate or out of date. Verify anything important with the linked sources. Not financial advice.

Key facts

Total volume

$3.0M

traded all-time

Market

Polymarket

data source