Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Starmer out by June 30, 2026 — 65% YES

The market currently assesses a 65% probability that Starmer will be out by June 30, 2026, treating this outcome as a moderate favorite with implied odds of roughly 1.9-to-1 in its favor. This price reflects a significant shift in collective conviction, evidenced by a sharp 33-point increase over the past 24 hours, rather than mere market noise. With over $6.4 million traded, this is a highly liquid market, indicating strong confidence in the current pricing among participants. The absence of a specified resolution rule means the exact conditions for a "Yes" payout are unclear, but the June 30, 2026, date provides a clear time horizon for this prediction.

AI-generated from automated web search — may be inaccurate or out of date. Verify anything important with the linked sources. Not financial advice.

Key facts

Total volume

$6.4M

traded all-time

Market

Polymarket

data source