US bank failure by December 31, 2026?
74%chance of Yes
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
US bank failure by December 31, 2026 at 74%
On Polymarket, "US bank failure by December 31, 2026?" is trading at 74% YES with $3,165 in volume.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $3.2K
- traded all-time
- Resolves
- Jan 1, 2027
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
Resolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.
Frequently asked
What is the "US bank failure by December 31, 2026?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "US bank failure by December 31, 2026?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 74%, which makes it a favorite — the crowd prices it around 74%. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
