U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
20%chance of Yes
+9%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekWhy it's moving
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027 at 20%
On Polymarket, "U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?" is trading at 20% YES with $50,812 in volume. It's moved +9% in the last 24h.
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PRO+Key facts
- Total volume
- $50.8K
- traded all-time
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify. US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify. High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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