U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
10%chance of Yes
-1%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027 at 10%
On Polymarket, "U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?" is trading at 10% YES with $183,385 in volume. It's moved -1% in the last 24h.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $183K
- traded all-time
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify. US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify. High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently asked
What is the "U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 10%, which makes it a long shot — the crowd gives it only about a 10% chance. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
