US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027 — 95% YES

The market on a US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027 is currently priced as a near-lock at 95%, implying a strong collective judgment that such a deal will materialize. This 14-point surge over the past 24 hours represents a significant shift in conviction, rather than mere market noise, suggesting a recent development has substantially increased perceived likelihood. With over $2.3 million traded, the market exhibits solid participation, indicating this high probability is backed by considerable collective confidence. The absence of a specific resolution date means the market has an open-ended timeline, allowing for continued price adjustments as events unfold.

AI-generated from automated web search — may be inaccurate or out of date. Verify anything important with the linked sources. Not financial advice.

Key facts

Total volume

$2.3M

traded all-time

Market

Polymarket

data source