US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
9%chance of Yes
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027 at 9%
On Polymarket, "US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?" is trading at 9% YES with $134,802 in volume.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $135K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $21
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action. Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify. Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea. The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.
Frequently asked
What is the "US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 9%, which makes it a long shot — the crowd gives it only about a 9% chance. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
