US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026 — 17% YES

At 17%, the crowd views a US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 2026 as a distinct longshot, with implied odds of roughly 4.8-to-1 against it occurring. The significant 13-point jump in the last 24 hours, despite the overall low probability, suggests a notable, albeit still minority, shift in conviction, rather than mere noise. With over $1.3 million traded, this price reflects solid market confidence, indicating a well-informed collective judgment on this long-term geopolitical prospect.

AI-generated from automated web search — may be inaccurate or out of date. Verify anything important with the linked sources. Not financial advice.

Key facts

Total volume

$1.4M

traded all-time

Market

Polymarket

data source