Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?
8%chance of Yes
-5%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26 at 8%
On Polymarket, "Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?" is trading at 8% YES with $10,045 in volume. It's moved -5% in the last 24h.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $10.0K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $6.8K
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Jul 26, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from July 20, 2026, through July 26, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Frequently asked
What is the "Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 8%, which makes it a long shot — the crowd gives it only about a 8% chance. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
