Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
40%chance of Yes
-1%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt at 40%
On Polymarket, "Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?" is trading at 40% YES with $181,673 in volume. It's moved -1% in the last 24h.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $182K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $1.2K
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Sep 6, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Frequently asked
What is the "Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 40%, which makes it an underdog — the crowd puts the odds around 40%. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
