Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
14%chance of Yes
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
✨ AIUpdated 44d agoWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination — 9% YES
At 9%, the market treats Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's 2028 Democratic presidential nomination as a deep longshot, implying roughly 10.2-to-1 odds against her. This price reflects significant collective conviction, given the heavy trading volume of over $13 million, suggesting the crowd is confident in this low probability. The essentially flat movement over the past 24 hours indicates no recent shift in this established sentiment. With no resolution date provided, there's ample time for this longshot status to evolve, though the current robust trading volume suggests a well-settled initial assessment.
AI-generated from automated web search — may be inaccurate or out of date. Verify anything important with the linked sources. Not financial advice.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $14.0M
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $2.3K
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Nov 7, 2028
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
