Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
95%chance of Yes
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record at 95%
On Polymarket, "Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?" is trading at 95% YES with $147,010 in volume.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $147K
- traded all-time
- Resolves
- Jan 10, 2027
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for any month of 2026 versus the data points available for all years for the relevant month on record. If any month of 2026 is the hottest of that month for any year in record, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note: If any month of 2026 is tied for hottest with the same month of another year, this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. This market may resolve immediately upon the release of data for any month which qualifies towards a "Yes" resolution. If no information for all months is provided by NASA by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Frequently asked
What is the "Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 95%, which makes it a near-lock in the crowd's view at about 95%. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
