Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05?
4%chance of Yes
-0%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05 at 4%
On Polymarket, "Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05?" is trading at 4% YES with $31,093 in volume.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $31.1K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $83
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- May 16, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Frequently asked
What is the "Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 4%, which makes it a long shot — the crowd gives it only about a 4% chance. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
