Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
16%chance of Yes
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekWhy it's moving
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027 at 16%
On Polymarket, "Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?" is trading at 16% YES with $700,258 in volume.
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PRO+Key facts
- Total volume
- $700K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $704
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2027
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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Odds and volume are sourced live from Polymarket and refresh continuously. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
