Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?
7%chance of Yes
+2%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will Claude go down 12+ times in July at 7%
On Polymarket, "Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?" is trading at 7% YES with $7,410 in volume. It's moved +2% in the last 24h.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $7.4K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $89
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Jul 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
Resolution details
This market will resolve according to the number of days in July 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime. Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution. A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun. This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Frequently asked
What is the "Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 7%, which makes it a long shot — the crowd gives it only about a 7% chance. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
