Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% or less in June?
72%chance of Yes
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% or less in June at 72%
On Polymarket, "Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% or less in June?" is trading at 72% YES with $3,395 in volume.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $3.4K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $7
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Jul 30, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
Resolution details
This is a market about percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending June 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for June 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on July 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 3.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure. If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Frequently asked
What is the "Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% or less in June?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% or less in June?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 72%, which makes it a favorite — the crowd prices it around 72%. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
