Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
11%chance of Yes
-2%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027 at 11%
On Polymarket, "Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?" is trading at 11% YES with $61,743 in volume. It's moved -2% in the last 24h.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $61.7K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $1.1K
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked
What is the "Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 11%, which makes it an underdog — the crowd puts the odds around 11%. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
