Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
15%chance of Yes
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekWhy it's moving
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027 at 15%
On Polymarket, "Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?" is trading at 15% YES with $53,771 in volume.
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PRO+Key facts
- Total volume
- $53.8K
- traded all-time
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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