Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?
7%chance of Yes
+1%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026 at 7%
On Polymarket, "Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?" is trading at 7% YES with $56,826 in volume.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $56.8K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $2
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked
What is the "Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 7%, which makes it a long shot — the crowd gives it only about a 7% chance. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
