Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
7%chance of Yes
+4%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026 at 7%
On Polymarket, "Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?" is trading at 7% YES with $15,437 in volume. It's moved +4% in the last 24h.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $15.4K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $136
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
Resolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if George R. R. Martin publicly and explicitly announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that an installment of A Song of Ice and Fire titled "The Winds of Winter" will be released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of the creation of any expansion or sequel not explicitly named "The Winds of Winter" (e.g., Fire & Blood, A Sworn Sword) will not be sufficient to qualify this market toward a "Yes" resolution. The book must have the words "The Winds of Winter" in the title to qualify. This market is concerned only with the announcement of release. The resolution source for this market will be official information from George R. R. Martin or a consensus of credible sources.
Frequently asked
What is the "Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 7%, which makes it a long shot — the crowd gives it only about a 7% chance. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
