Will Hong Kong have between 475-500mm of precipitation in July?
1%chance of Yes
-0%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will Hong Kong have between 475-500mm of precipitation in July at 1%
On Polymarket, "Will Hong Kong have between 475-500mm of precipitation in July?" is trading at 1% YES with $1,282 in volume.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $1.3K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $68
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Jul 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
Resolution details
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between July 1 and July 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in July 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the relevant data is not available by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Frequently asked
What is the "Will Hong Kong have between 475-500mm of precipitation in July?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will Hong Kong have between 475-500mm of precipitation in July?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 1%, which makes it a long shot — the crowd gives it only about a 1% chance. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
