Will ISM Services PMI be below 50.0 in July?
2%chance of Yes
+1%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will ISM Services PMI be below 50.0 in July at 2%
On Polymarket, "Will ISM Services PMI be below 50.0 in July?" is trading at 2% YES with $1,647 in volume.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $1.6K
- traded all-time
- Resolves
- Aug 5, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
Resolution details
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for July 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for July 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business. The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for July 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on August 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets. Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Frequently asked
What is the "Will ISM Services PMI be below 50.0 in July?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will ISM Services PMI be below 50.0 in July?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 2%, which makes it a long shot — the crowd gives it only about a 2% chance. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
