Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?
33%chance of Yes
-3%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekWhy it's moving
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31 at 33%
On Polymarket, "Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?" is trading at 33% YES with $42,583 in volume. It's moved -3% in the last 24h.
💬 Ask this market
PRO+Key facts
- Total volume
- $42.6K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $209
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Oct 31, 2025
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
More in Markets
View all →
Odds and volume are sourced live from Polymarket and refresh continuously. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
