Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?
20%chance of Yes
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31 at 20%
On Polymarket, "Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?" is trading at 20% YES with $58,779 in volume.
💬 Ask this market
PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $58.8K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $50
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Oct 31, 2025
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently asked
What is the "Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 20%, which makes it an underdog — the crowd puts the odds around 20%. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
More in Markets
View all →
Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
