Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?
1%chance of Yes
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026 at 1%
On Polymarket, "Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?" is trading at 1% YES with $529,001 in volume.
💬 Ask this market
PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $529K
- traded all-time
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently asked
What is the "Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 1%, which makes it a long shot — the crowd gives it only about a 1% chance. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
More in Markets
View all →
Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
