Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination β 2% YES
At 2%, the market views James Talarico's 2028 Democratic presidential nomination as a deep longshot, implying roughly 45.5-to-1 odds against him. This price, essentially flat over the last 24 hours, reflects a stable collective judgment, underpinned by substantial overall trading volume of over $9.6 million, indicating high conviction in this low probability. With nearly two and a half years until resolution, there is ample time for this assessment to evolve, though current sentiment firmly places him outside the realm of serious contention. For a "Yes" resolution, Talarico must officially win and accept the Democratic Party's nomination for U.S. president in 2028.
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This market will resolve to βYesβ if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to βNoβ. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool β we don't accept bets or hold funds.