Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
8%chance of Yes
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027 at 8%
On Polymarket, "Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?" is trading at 8% YES with $48,905 in volume.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $48.9K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $27
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
Resolution details
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Frequently asked
What is the "Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 8%, which makes it a long shot — the crowd gives it only about a 8% chance. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
