Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
43%chance of Yes
+0%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
✨ AIUpdated 44d agoWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination — 34% YES
The market currently prices J.D. Vance's 2028 Republican presidential nomination at 34%, treating it as a longshot with implied odds of roughly 2-to-1 against. This price reflects a confident collective judgment, given the heavy overall trading volume of over $13 million. The recent 4-point increase over 24 hours, while a notable shift, occurs with plenty of time remaining until resolution in approximately 29 months, allowing for significant future movement. For a "Yes" resolution, Vance must win and accept the Republican Party's 2028 U.S. presidential nomination, as confirmed by official party sources.
AI-generated from automated web search — may be inaccurate or out of date. Verify anything important with the linked sources. Not financial advice.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $14.6M
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $29.0K
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Nov 7, 2028
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
