Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5%chance of Yes
+0%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
✨ AIUpdated 44d agoWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination — 6% YES
At 6%, the market views Josh Shapiro's 2028 Democratic presidential nomination as a deep longshot, implying roughly 15.5-to-1 odds against him. This price, essentially flat over the past 24 hours, reflects a stable collective judgment rather than recent shifts in conviction. The substantial trading volume of over $8.6 million indicates strong market confidence in this low probability, suggesting it's a well-considered assessment rather than a volatile, thinly traded price. Without a specified resolution date, this long-term outlook allows for potential future developments to influence the price, though the current consensus is firmly established.
AI-generated from automated web search — may be inaccurate or out of date. Verify anything important with the linked sources. Not financial advice.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $9.2M
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $2.9K
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Nov 7, 2028
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
