Will July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?
1%chance of Yes
-1%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record at 1%
On Polymarket, "Will July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?" is trading at 1% YES with $20,877 in volume. It's moved -1% in the last 24h.
💬 Ask this market
PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $20.9K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $341
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Jul 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
Resolution details
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for July 2026 versus the data points available for all other Julys on record. Note: If July 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jul" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for July 2026 is provided by NASA by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Frequently asked
What is the "Will July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 1%, which makes it a long shot — the crowd gives it only about a 1% chance. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
More in Markets
View all →
Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
