Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
94%chance of Yes
+1%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff at 94%
On Polymarket, "Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?" is trading at 94% YES with $203,192 in volume. It's moved +1% in the last 24h.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $203K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $130
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Oct 4, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Frequently asked
What is the "Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 94%, which makes it a near-lock in the crowd's view at about 94%. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
