Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?
3%chance of Yes
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027 at 3%
On Polymarket, "Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?" is trading at 3% YES with $2,383 in volume.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $2.4K
- traded all-time
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
Resolution details
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently asked
What is the "Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 3%, which makes it a long shot — the crowd gives it only about a 3% chance. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
