Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in July?
46%chance of Yes
-18%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in July at 46%
On Polymarket, "Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in July?" is trading at 46% YES with $1,535 in volume. It's moved -18% in the last 24h.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $1.5K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $118
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Jul 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
Resolution details
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between July 1 and July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for July 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of July 2026. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Frequently asked
What is the "Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in July?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in July?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 46%, which makes it close to a coin-flip at about 46%. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
