Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
5%chance of Yes
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms at 5%
On Polymarket, "Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?" is trading at 5% YES with $19,401 in volume.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $19.4K
- traded all-time
- Resolves
- Nov 3, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
Resolution details
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Republican party ceases to hold a majority in the United States House of Representatives at any point before polls open for the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A majority in the House of Representatives means holding more than half of the currently seated voting members of the U.S. House at that time, excluding vacant seats. Ties do not qualify as a majority. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States House of Representatives Press Gallery (https://pressgallery.house.gov/member-data/party-breakdown); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked
What is the "Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 5%, which makes it a long shot — the crowd gives it only about a 5% chance. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
