Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
23%chance of Yes
+2%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekWhy it's moving
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms at 23%
On Polymarket, "Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?" is trading at 23% YES with $15,712 in volume. It's moved +2% in the last 24h.
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PRO+Key facts
- Total volume
- $15.7K
- traded all-time
- Resolves
- Nov 3, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
Resolution details
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Republican party ceases to hold a majority in the United States House of Representatives at any point before polls open for the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A majority in the House of Representatives means holding more than half of the currently seated voting members of the U.S. House at that time, excluding vacant seats. Ties do not qualify as a majority. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States House of Representatives Press Gallery (https://pressgallery.house.gov/member-data/party-breakdown); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Odds and volume are sourced live from Polymarket and refresh continuously. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
