Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination — 3% YES
At 3%, the market treats Ron DeSantis winning the 2028 Republican presidential nomination as a deep longshot, implying collective judgment that this outcome is very unlikely. This price, essentially flat over the last 24 hours, reflects a confident consensus given the heavy overall trading volume of over $14 million. With roughly 29 months until resolution, there is ample time for this price to shift, but for a "Yes" payout, DeSantis must definitively win and accept the Republican nomination in 2028.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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