Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination β 3% YES
At 3%, the market currently treats Ron DeSantis winning the 2028 Republican nomination as a deep longshot, implying roughly 30.7-to-1 odds against him. This price has remained essentially flat over the last 24 hours, suggesting no recent shift in conviction, and the substantial $14 million in total volume indicates this is a confident, well-established collective judgment. With 29 months until resolution, there's ample time for this dynamic to change, but for "Yes" to pay out, DeSantis must formally secure and accept the Republican Party's nomination for U.S. president in 2028.
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This market will resolve to βYesβ if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to βNoβ. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool β we don't accept bets or hold funds.