Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
11%chance of Yes
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekWhy it's moving
Will Russia invade another country in 2026 at 11%
On Polymarket, "Will Russia invade another country in 2026?" is trading at 11% YES with $256,318 in volume.
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PRO+Key facts
- Total volume
- $256K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $597
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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Odds and volume are sourced live from Polymarket and refresh continuously. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
