Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?
4%chance of Yes
+0%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31 at 4%
On Polymarket, "Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?" is trading at 4% YES with $934,536 in volume.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $935K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $83
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator or creators of Bitcoin, is definitively proven between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The resolution source for this market will be definitive evidence confirming the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, such as a transfer from one of the original Satoshi wallets. However, a credible consensus of reporting will also be used.
Frequently asked
What is the "Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 4%, which makes it a long shot — the crowd gives it only about a 4% chance. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
